PODCAST: Alcohol Deaths on the Rise and Suicide Declines

March 18, 2022


HOST:  The month of March is often associated with St. Patrick’s Day, which for some is also an occasion of heavy alcohol use.  NCHS has historically collected data on various health behaviors, including alcohol use, and since the arrival of the pandemic, vital statistics show that there has been a surge in alcohol-induced deaths, an increase from slightly over 39,000 deaths in 2019 to just over 49,000 deaths in 2020 – an increase of more than 25 percent.  Provisional data from 2021 show the number of alcohol-induced deaths have continued to increase, to more than 52,000, up 34 percent from pre-pandemic levels.

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis is another, long-term adverse consequence of alcohol abuse, and those deaths have increased during the pandemic as well, from over 44,000 deaths in 2019 to over 56,000 deaths in 2021 – an increase of more than 26 percent.  Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis became the 9th leading cause of death of all Americans in 2021, up from 11th prior to the pandemic.

Drug abuse of course is a well-documented scourge in the country, and in March, NCHS released the latest monthly provisional tally of overdose deaths in the U.S., for the one-year period ending in October 2021.  105,752 people died of drug overdoses during this stretch.  Synthetic opioids, primarily fentanyl, accounted for the largest proportion of overdose deaths.

On March 17, NCHS released its latest estimates on emergency department visits in the United States from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, documenting that more than 151 million ER visits occurred in the U.S. during 2019.

Earlier in the month, NCHS released a new studypdf icon looking at births during the pandemic.  The new report shows that the decline in births appears to have slowed during the first half of 2021, compared to the second half of 2020.  The decline in births during the first half of 2021 would have been even smaller except for a large drop during the month of January.

Finally, NCHS released the latest official trend report on suicide in America.  The latest trends were presented in November in a separate report, and we talked with the author of that report, Sally Curtin, about the latest numbers:

HOST: Despite other causes of death such as drug overdoses and homicides spiking during the pandemic, your data show suicide actually declined, correct?

SALLY CURTIN: Yes that is correct. The number, just under 46,000 in 2020, was 3% lower than in 2019 and also the rate of suicide per 100,000 population was 3% lower as well.  Now, this is actually building on a decline which actually had started before COVID.  There was the first decline in almost 20 years from 2018 to 2019 in suicide – of about 2% – and that’s after an almost steady increase in suicide between about the year 2000 and 2018… it had increased by 35% during that time

HOST: Was it a surprise that suicide dropped in 2020, particularly given the historic increases in homicide and drug overdose deaths?

SALLY CURTIN: That’s a good question because we do know – there’s documented evidence – that some risk factors for suicide definitely increased during 2020.  And some of those risk factors are mental health issues such as depression, anxiety… Also, substance abuse increased during 2020 as well as job and financial stress.  And those are known risk factors for suicide.  So, people were concerned that the actual suicide deaths would increase.  But in the very first sentence of our report we say that suicide is complex and it’s a multi-faceted public health issue.  So it’s not as easy to say, “OK, these risk factors went up for this cause of death; therefore, you know, the deaths are going to go up.”  Suicide is much more complex than that.  There are, as well as risk factors there are elements of, obviously, prevention as well as intervention.  So some of those factors – prevention and intervention – were definitely going on during 2020, and so therefore it’s hard to say and I think in general suicide is just harder to predict than a lot of other causes of death.

HOST: So then would you say that (with) the fact that suicide declined two years in a row, is this officially a new trend?

SALLY CURTIN: It’s hard to say.  I mean, certainly it’s positive in that it’s not continuing to trend upward as it had been for so many years.  But also let me point out it still is historically high – the number is historically high as well as the rate.  They’re both high over the last 20 years.  They’re just a little bit lower than the peak in 2018.  But certainly having two years of declines gives you some hope that it might continue.

HOST: Your new study looked at suicide during 2020 on a monthly basis – what were some things that stood out in your analysis?

SALLY CURTIN: For the most part, in early 2020 – in January and February – the numbers were higher than in 2019.  But starting in March they went lower, and pretty much suicide numbers in 2020 were lower than in 2019 for the rest of the year, except in the month of November where they were just slightly higher.  Now what really stood out is the month of April, where the suicide number in 2020 was 14% lower than in 2019, and that was the greatest percentage difference of any month. And we typically don’t see that big of a change year over year in monthly numbers, so that stood out.  And also it changed sort of the yearly pattern of suicides in general – the month that has the lowest number tends to be in the winter or maybe late Fall but in 2020, April was the month with the lowest number

HOST: That is interesting – would you say that it’s counter-intuitive given that everyone was in lockdown and a lot of people weren’t working etc?

SALLY CURTIN: You would think so and we definitely heard that calls to suicide hotlines just, they just blew up and one study said they went up 800%.  So we do know that people were stressed, but we also know that they were reaching out a lot and so… yeah it is (a surprise) – I think most people will be surprised there was that large drop in April.  And I’ll leave it to others to really sort of explain what was going on – you know, whether everyone was just sort of in shock or if the stigma of maybe reaching out wasn’t quite what it normally is during regular times.

HOST: It looks like the data suggest that the declines were pretty much across the board.  Is that correct?

SALLY CURTIN: Well, for females that’s pretty much correct.  And I mean by race and ethnicity groups – all of the groups for females were lower in 2020 than 2019.  And the greatest percent decline was for Non-Hispanic white females.  There was actually a drop of 10%, and that decline reached statistical significance.  But even for females the declines really started at age 35 and over. For the younger females ages 10 to 34, rates were either the same or actually increased a bit.  For males, there was a mixed picture.  Non-Hispanic white males, as well as Non-Hispanic Asian males, had a decline but groups of minority males had increases.  Non-Hispanic black men had an increase in their rates… Hispanic men… as well as Non-Hispanic American Indian men… And once again, for men, the groups for which there was a decline tended to be in middle-age or older ages, starting with age 35.  It was not apparent in the young people ages 10 to 34.

HOST: The increases among Non-Hispanic black and Hispanic and any other minority group – had these increases been happening prior to 2020 as well?

SALLY CURTIN: Yes, pretty much all of these groups that saw those increases from 2019 and 2020 had been trending upward.  The difference is for white and Asian, they had also been trending upward but now they’ve turned.  So yes, it was just a continuation of a generally upward trend.

HOST: Do you have any indications that the decline in suicide is continuing in 2021?

SALLY CURTIN: So far we do not have any provisional data for 2021 and something that is brought out in the report is that we don’t typically do suicide reports with provisional data because unlike other causes of death it can take longer to get an accurate cause of death saying that it’s suicide.  An example is in the context of a drug overdose.  Often, they have to do toxicology analysis to figure out if the intent was actually suicidal or if it was just accidental.  So for that reason suicide figures tend to lag behind other causes of death and unfortunately right now we don’t have any numbers at all for 2021.

HOST: OK, well any other points to add?

SALLY CURTIN: I think just you know that the overall decline – it’s probably unexpected or for a lot of people because there were known increases in risk factors.  But to just point out once again that although there was an overall decline, this was a lot driven by what happened with the majority group, with Non-Hispanic whites who have among the highest rates and the numbers of suicide.  So the fact that Non- Hispanic white women were down 10%, Non-Hispanic white men were down 3% , it sort of drove the overall decline.  And there were some groups that just did not experience declines – in fact, they experienced increases.  In particular, Hispanic men had an increase of 5% and that did reach statistical significance, but there were also increases for Non-Hispanic black men and Non-Hispanic American Indian men.  So it is encouraging that the overall rate declined, but we certainly need to continue to be vigilant and to realize that this decline was not experienced by everyone.

HOST: Alright, thank you Sally for joining us.

SALLY CURTIN: Oh sure.  Thank you.

Alcohol-Related Deaths from 1999-2018

April 1, 2020

Source: https://wonder.cdc.gov


QuickStats: Rate of Alcohol-Induced Deaths Among Persons Aged 25 Years or Older, by Age Group

August 26, 2019

Rates of alcohol-induced deaths for persons aged 45–64 years increased from 17.3 per 100,000 population in 1999 to 26.0 in 2017.

For persons aged 25–44 years, rates declined from 1999 to 2005, were stable from 2005 to 2012, and then increased from 2012 (4.8) to 2017 (6.3).

A similar pattern was observed for persons aged ≥65 years, with an initial decline, a stable period, and then an increase from 2011 (12.0) to 2017 (16.4).

Source: National Vital Statistics System, Mortality Data, 1999–2017. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/deaths.htm.


2017 Final Deaths, Leading Causes of Death and Life Tables Reports Released

June 24, 2019

NCHS released a report that presents the final 2017 data on U.S. deaths, death rates, life expectancy, infant mortality, and trends, by selected characteristics such as age, sex, Hispanic origin and race, state of residence, and cause of death.

Key Findings:

  • In 2017, a total of 2,813,503 deaths were reported in the United States.
  • The age-adjusted death rate was 731.9 deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population, an increase of 0.4% from the 2016 rate.
  • Life expectancy at birth was 78.6 years, a decrease of 0.1 year from the 2016 rate.
  • Life expectancy decreased from 2016 to 2017 for non-Hispanic white males (0.1 year) and non-Hispanic black males (0.1), and increased for non-Hispanic black females (0.1).
  • Age-specific death rates increased in 2017 from 2016 for age groups 25–34, 35–44, and 85 and over, and decreased for age groups under 1 and 45–54.
  • The 15 leading causes of death in 2017 remained the same as in 2016 although, two causes exchanged ranks.
  • Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis, the 12th leading cause of death in 2016, became the 11th leading cause of death in 2017, while Septicemia, the 11th leading cause of death in 2016, became the 12th leading cause of death in 2017.
  • The infant mortality rate, 5.79 infant deaths per 1,000 live births in 2017, did not change significantly from the rate of 5.87 in 2016.

NCHS also released the 2017 U.S. Life Tables and Leading Causes of Death Reports.

QuickStats: Age-Adjusted Percentages of Adults Aged 18 Years or Older Who Are Current Regular Drinkers of Alcohol, by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin — National Health Interview Survey, 2016

March 19, 2018

In 2016, men aged 18 years or older were more likely than women to be current regular drinkers of alcohol (62.1% versus 47.2%).

Non-Hispanic white men (65.5%) were more likely to be current regular drinkers than Hispanic men (57.8%) and non-Hispanic black men (52.9%).

Non-Hispanic white women (55.6%) were more likely to be current regular drinkers than non-Hispanic black women (35.9%) and Hispanic women (31.5%).

Source: Tables of summary health statistics for US adults, National Health Interview Survey, 2016.


QuickStats: Age-Adjusted Death Rates Attributable to Alcohol-Induced Causes, by Race/Ethnicity — United States, 1999–2015

May 15, 2017

In 2015, mortality from alcohol-induced causes reached the highest rate during 1999–2015 of 9.1 deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population.

Alcohol-induced death rates for the Hispanic population remained the highest (9.9 per 100,000 U.S. standard population), followed by the non-Hispanic white population (9.6).

For the non-Hispanic black population, the alcohol-induced death rate decreased 33% from 1999 to 2015, while the rate increased by 50% during the same period for the non-Hispanic white population.

Overall, from 1999 to 2015, mortality from alcohol-induced causes increased 28% (7.1 to 9.1).

Source: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/66/wr/mm6618a12.htm

Stat of the Day – May 12, 2017

May 12, 2017

Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the January–September 2016 National Health Interview Survey

February 23, 2017

Tainya C. Clarke, Ph.D., M.P.H., Health Statistician

Tainya C. Clarke, Ph.D., M.P.H., Health Statistician

Questions for Tainya C. Clarke, Ph.D., M.P.H., Health Statistician and Lead Author on the “Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the January–September 2016 National Health Interview Survey.”

Q: What health measures does this report look at?

TC: The measures covered in this report are lack of health insurance coverage and type of coverage, having a usual place to go for medical care, obtaining needed medical care, receipt of influenza vaccination, receipt of pneumococcal vaccination, obesity, leisure–time physical activity, current cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) testing, general health status, personal care needs, serious psychological distress, diagnosed diabetes, and asthma episodes and current asthma. Three of these measures (lack of health insurance coverage, leisure-time physical activity, and current cigarette smoking) are directly related to Healthy People 2020 Leading Health Indicators.

Q: How do you collect your data for these surveys?

TC: The data is collected by household interview surveys that are fielded continuously throughout the year by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). Interviews are conducted in respondents’ homes. Health and socio-demographic information is collected on each member of all families residing within a sampled household. Within each family, additional information is collected from one randomly selected adult (the “sample adult”) aged 18 years or older and one randomly selected child (the “sample child”) aged 17 years or younger. NHIS data is collected at one point in time so we cannot determine causation. Data presented in this report are quarterly data and are preliminary.

Q: What are some of the findings that you would highlight in this early release report?

TC: Here are some findings from the early release report:

• The percentage of persons of all ages who had a usual place to go for medical care decreased, from 87.9% in 2003 to 85.4% in 2010, and then increased to 88.3% in January–September 2016.

• The percentage of persons who failed to obtain needed medical care due to cost increased, from 4.3% in 1999 to 6.9% in 2009 and 2010, and then decreased to 4.4% in January–September 2016.

• The percentage of adults aged 65 and over who had ever received a pneumococcal vaccination increased from 63.5% in 2015 to 67.3% in January–September 2016.

• The prevalence of obesity among U.S. adults aged 20 and over increased, from 19.4% in 1997 to 30.6% in January–September 2016.

• In the third quarter of 2016, 52.8% of U.S. adults aged 18 and over met the 2008 federal physical activity guidelines for aerobic activity (based on leisure-time activity). This was higher than the third quarter of 2015 estimate of 49.5%.

• The prevalence of current cigarette smoking among U.S. adults declined, from 24.7% in 1997 to 15.3% in 2015 and remained low through the third quarter of 2016 (15.9%).
• During January–September 2016, men were more likely to have had at least 1 heavy alcohol drinking day (31.6%) in the past year compared with women (18.6%).

• The prevalence of diagnosed diabetes among adults aged 18 and over increased, from 5.1% in 1997 to 9.2% in 2010, and has since remained stable through January–September 2016.

Q: What do the findings in this report tell us about the health of the country overall?

TC: Since 2010, the percentage of uninsured persons has decreased by almost 50% (16.0% vs 8.8%) and the percentage of persons who failed to obtain needed medical care due to cost has also shown a significant decline during the same time period (6.9% to 4.4%). These two indicators demonstrate increased access to healthcare from 2010 to September 2016.

Q: Are there any trends in this report that Americans should be concerned about?

TC: Although in the 3rd quarter of 2016, 52.8% of U.S. adults met the 2008 federal physical activity guidelines for aerobic activity; obesity is an epidemic that has seen a steady increase since 1997 and now affects just under one third (30.6%) of U.S. adults.

Alcohol Awareness Month

April 8, 2015

April is Alcohol Awareness Month.  This month highlights the health risks associated with problem drinking and the importance of identification and intervention.  According to NCHS data, there are over 18,000 alcoholic liver disease deaths and 29,000 alcohol-induced deaths (excluding accidents and homicides) in the U.S.

Over 50 percent of the adults in the U.S. have said that they have had at least 12 alcoholic drinks in the past year.

The U.S. adult population consumes an average of almost 100 calories per day from alcoholic beverages.  Men consume more calories from alcoholic beverages than women. Younger adults consume more calories from alcoholic beverages than older adults. Men consume more beer than other types of alcohol.



Who will be drinking on St. Patty’s Day?

March 17, 2010

Who will have whiskey in the jar on one of the most popular drinking days of the year? Well, on average,  men are more likely than women to be current drinkers (68% compared with 55%). Men are also more likely to be moderate (22%) or heavy drinkers (6%) than women (7% and 4%, respectively). Youth also contributes to heavier drinking:

Other indicators:

  • White men and women are more likely to be current drinkers than other races, and non-Hispanic adults are more likely than Hispanic adults to be drinkers.
  • Current drinkers increase with education from 44% for adults with less than a high school diploma to 74% for adults with a graduate degree.
  • The prevalence of current drinking increases dramatically with family income.

For more, visit the new report on adult health behaviors at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_10/sr10_245.pdf.