A virus that has killed more than 400 people out of roughly 750 confirmed infections worldwide is back under international scrutiny after two laboratory-confirmed cases were reported in India.
Health authorities in West Bengal confirmed that both cases involve healthcare workers from the same hospital, a setting historically associated with human-to-human transmission of the Nipah virus.
One patient has stabilized. The second remains in critical condition. As of the latest official update, 196 close contacts have been traced, monitored, and tested, with zero additional infections detected.
The World Health Organization has stated that the risk of international spread remains low. Despite that assessment, multiple Asian countries have reinstated airport health screenings, reflecting the virus’s extreme lethality rather than its current spread.
What the Numbers Say About the Current Outbreak
The West Bengal cluster is small, but the response is shaped by what Nipah has done before.
Metric
Verified figure
Confirmed cases (2025–26, West Bengal)
2
Confirmed secondary cases
0
Contacts traced and tested
196
Community transmission
None detected
Transmission setting
Hospital
This pattern is consistent with previous Nipah outbreaks, where early isolation and aggressive contact tracing prevented wider spread.
A Virus That Kills More Than Half of Its Known Victims
Across all documented outbreaks since the virus was identified in the late 1990s, Nipah has shown an unusually high fatality rate for a zoonotic virus.
Location and year
Confirmed cases
Deaths
Fatality rate
Malaysia 1998–99
265
105
~40%
Siliguri, India 2001
66
45–49
~74%
Kerala, India 2018
23
21
~91%
Global total (all outbreaks)
~750
~415
~55%
Fatality rates vary by outbreak, healthcare access, and speed of detection, but even the lowest documented rates remain far above those of most modern infectious diseases.
Why Governments React Fast Even When Case Numbers Are Low
Country
Government response
Official rationale
Thailand
Airport fever screening, symptom monitoring
Early detection of high-fatality pathogens
Singapore
Heightened health advisories for travelers
Hospital-linked transmission history
Malaysia
Entry screening and clinical alerts
Past major outbreak experience
Pakistan
Airport health checks reinstated
Prevent cross-border importation
Hong Kong
Travel health surveillance strengthened
High-risk pathogen classification
Nipah does not spread easily, but it spreads efficiently in the wrong conditions. Human-to-human transmission has been documented primarily in hospitals and caregiving environments, where exposure to respiratory secretions and bodily fluids is prolonged.

The virus also has a long incubation period, typically 4 to 14 days, with documented cases extending up to 45 days. This allows infected individuals to remain asymptomatic while still being monitored as potential carriers.
There is no licensed vaccine and no approved antiviral treatment. Medical care is supportive only, focused on managing encephalitis, respiratory failure, and secondary complications.
These characteristics explain why even two cases trigger international surveillance measures.
How Rare Nipah Is, and Why It Remains a Priority Threat
Despite its lethality, Nipah remains rare. Most outbreaks involve single-digit case numbers.
Region
Typical annual cases
Bangladesh
Fewer than 10 in most years
India
Sporadic, outbreak-driven
Global average
Fewer than 20 per year
Nipah virus is typically spread by fruit bats 🦇. It causes severe disease with a risk of mortality between 40% and 90%. Outbreaks of Nipah virus occur annually in both Bangladesh and India; the latest outbreak was in early 2023 in Bangladesh. pic.twitter.com/aB7XwslXzI
— CEPI (@CEPIvaccines) June 7, 2023
In 2023, Bangladesh recorded 13 confirmed cases, one of the highest annual totals in recent years. The virus persists in animal reservoirs, particularly fruit bats, creating ongoing spillover risk rather than continuous human transmission.
Global health agencies classify Nipah as a high-impact, low-frequency pathogen. Its danger lies not in the current scale, but in what could happen if transmission dynamics change.
The Mismatch Between Data and Public Reaction
While confirmed case numbers remain unchanged, online claims have suggested far larger outbreaks and death tolls. Indian health authorities have repeatedly corrected these claims, confirming that only two cases exist in the current event and that all identified contacts have tested negative.
This gap between verified data and public perception has become a recurring feature of Nipah outbreaks. The virus’s reputation is driven by mortality statistics accumulated over decades, not by rapid spread in the present.
What This Outbreak Actually Shows
@dailymail A deadly virus outbreak in India has sparked fresh pandemic fears across Asia, prompting some countries to roll out Covid-era airport screenings to stop it spreading. Several airports have stepped up precautionary measures after India’s West Bengal region confirmed five cases of Nipah virus – a rare but highly dangerous infection carried by bats that can infect both pigs and humans. #nipah #india #westbengal #pandemic ♬ original sound – Daily Mail
The current Nipah event is small, controlled, and under active surveillance. There is no evidence of community transmission, no rise in case counts, and no indication of viral mutation or increased transmissibility.
At the same time, the historical data explain why health systems react aggressively. A virus that kills roughly one out of every two infected people, lacks a vaccine, and can spread in hospitals does not require large numbers to justify alarm.




