Over the past five years, U.S. home values have increased by roughly 8โ9% per year on average, while over the past ten years, theyโve risen about 6โ7% per year on average. In other words, national home prices saw an exceptionally rapid climb in recent years, far above historical norms.
This post explores these figures in detail using national-level data from authoritative sources like Zillow, illustrating how U.S. home prices have changed year by year and what the average annual appreciation has been for the 5-year and 10-year periods
Home values surged nearly 45โ55% in total over the last 5 years (an unusually high growth rate), and almost doubled over the last 10 years โ equating to those ~8% and ~7% yearly averages, respectively, according to fred.stlouisfed.org.
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ToggleNational Home Price Growth: 5-Year and 10-Year Overview
Since 2020, U.S. home values have risen by 45.3 percent. In other words, more than 10 years of typical home value growth has been packed into a five-year period, a new report from Zillow shows. https://t.co/gG1D4eYP41
โ Inman (@Inman) February 27, 2025
To quantify home value appreciation, we look at broad national indices that track U.S. house prices. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agencyโs House Price Index (FHFA HPI), U.S. home prices rose from an index level of ~345 in late 2014 to about 691 by late 2024.
This nearly 100% cumulative increase over ten years corresponds to an average annual growth rate on the order of ~7% per year. In the more recent five-year span (2019โ2024), the index jumped from ~444 to 691โ โ about a 55% total increase โ which works out to roughly 9% per year on average.
For a different perspective, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and Zillowโs Home Value Index tell a similar story.
Zillow reports that home values climbed 45.3% from February 2020 to February 2025, packing โmore than a decadeโs worth of typical growth into just five yearsโ.
Historically, U.S. home values tend to rise around 4% per year in normal times, so the recent five-year period saw roughly double the typical annual appreciation rate.
Meanwhile, over a ten-year horizon, the average annual increase still exceeds the historical norm, given the strong gains of the past few years layered on top of the steady growth from the mid-2010s.
Period (Years)
Cumulative Increase in Home Values
Average Annual Increase
2014โ2024 (10 years)
โ 100% (doubling of prices)
โ 7.2% per year
2019โ2024 (5 years)
โ 55% total rise
โ 9.2% per year
As shown above, U.S. home values nearly doubled in the past decade, and over half of that growth occurred in just the last five years.
Next, weโll look at the year-by-year trend to see how these averages came to be.
Year-by-Year Home Price Trends (2015โ2024)
To better understand these averages, it helps to examine annual home price changes.
The following table lists the national FHFA House Price Index values at year-end and the year-over-year percentage increase for each year over the last decade:
Several important observations emerge from this data:
Steady Growth (2015โ2019)
From 2014 through 2019, home prices nationally increased at a consistent ~5% per year pace. This was a period of sustained but modest appreciation, reflecting a recovering housing market in the 2010s with relatively balanced supply and demand.
The average annual increase during this half-decade was about 5.1%, very much in line with longer-term historical averages (in fact, slightly above the ~4% typical long-run rate).
Surge during 2020โ2022
Home values accelerated dramatically in 2020โ2022, the years marked by the COVID-19 pandemic housing boom. In 2021, national prices jumped by 18% in one year, followed by another 11% jump in 2022.
These two years of double-digit growth are the main reason the 5-year average is so high. Ultra-low mortgage rates, pandemic-driven housing demand (as many sought more space or moved to new areas), and limited housing inventory fueled this unprecedented appreciation.
According to Zillowโs analysis, the surge from 2020 to 2022 compressed what would normally be a decadeโs worth of price growth into just a couple of years.
Recent Cooldown (2023โ2024)
By 2023, the pace of appreciation normalized significantly. As mortgage rates rose sharply and housing affordability worsened, price growth decelerated to about 5โ6% in 2023 and an estimated 5.4% in 2024.
These rates are much closer to historical norms. In fact, there was a brief period in late 2022 to early 2023 when some local markets saw flat or slightly declining prices, but on a national basis, the market held up with a modest climb.
The return to mid-single-digit annual growth in 2023โ2024 helped bring the 5-year average down a bit (from what would have been even higher if the 2021โ2022 boom had continued unabated).
Even so, the five-year period (2019โ2024) still averages out to roughly 8โ9% per year, well above the ten-year average, because of those two explosive growth years in the early 2020s.
In summary, the 10-year average (โ6โ7%/yr) reflects both the steady mid-2010s and the volatile early 2020s, while the 5-year average (โ8โ9%/yr) is dominated by the recent surge. Itโs important to note that these are nominal home price increases (not adjusted for inflation).
Even after accounting for general inflation, real home price growth was very robust in the past five years.
State-by-State Home Value Growth: 5-Year vs. 10-Year Comparison
Across the U.S., home prices have surged in recent yearsโbut the extent of that growth varies significantly by state. Below is a comparison of key states, showing both cumulative growth and average annual appreciation over the past 5 and 10 years.
Western and Sun Belt statesโlike Arizona, Washington, and Floridaโhave seen the most explosive growth, with over 60% home price increases in just five years, and more than 100% appreciation over the last decade, according to FHFA.
California saw strong growth overall, particularly in the earlier part of the decade, but has since slowed due to affordability constraints.
Midwestern states like Ohio and Illinois had more modest increases, though they still outpaced inflation and represent more stable long-term markets.
Southern states such as Georgia and North Carolina saw high growth driven by population inflows and strong housing demand.
Data Sources and Reliability
The figures above are drawn from well-regarded national data sets:
By focusing on national-level data, weโve smoothed out regional variations. Some metro areas saw far higher appreciation (e.g. many Sun Belt cities exceeded 50โ60% growth in just the last 5 years), while a few areas lagged (some even flatlined).
But on aggregate, U.S. home values today are about 1.5 times higher than five years ago, and roughly double what they were ten years ago. These averages give a big-picture sense of the housing marketโs trajectory.
Conclusion
In the last decade, U.S. housing has proven to be a tremendous source of home equity gains for owners: national home prices rose around 6โ7% per year on average from 2014 to 2024, culminating in a total increase of about 100% over ten years.
Even more striking, about half of that gain occurred in just the most recent five-year span โ a period during which home values jumped roughly 8โ9% per year on average (far above normal), as the market experienced an extraordinary boom. Going forward, analysts expect growth to moderate.
With higher interest rates and affordability challenges in 2024โ2025, forecasts generally call for much lower annual price increases (on the order of a few percent or even flat prices) in the near term.
Nevertheless, the 5-year and 10-year average appreciation rates documented here highlight how strongly the housing market has performed in recent times at the national level.
Such insights are valuable for homeowners and investors planning for the future, as they set realistic expectations โ understanding that the recent supercharged gains are atypical, and long-run growth tends to revert closer to mid-single digits per year.
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