Average Home Value Increase Per Year in the US, 5 Years, 10 Years

An American Flag Hangs from A House, Symbolizing the U.S. Housing Market and Average Home Value Trends

Over the past five years, U.S. home values have increased by roughly 8โ€“9% per year on average, while over the past ten years, theyโ€™ve risen about 6โ€“7% per year on average. In other words, national home prices saw an exceptionally rapid climb in recent years, far above historical norms.

This post explores these figures in detail using national-level data from authoritative sources like Zillow, illustrating how U.S. home prices have changed year by year and what the average annual appreciation has been for the 5-year and 10-year periods

Home values surged nearly 45โ€“55% in total over the last 5 years (an unusually high growth rate), and almost doubled over the last 10 years โ€“ equating to those ~8% and ~7% yearly averages, respectively, according to fred.stlouisfed.org.

National Home Price Growth: 5-Year and 10-Year Overview


To quantify home value appreciation, we look at broad national indices that track U.S. house prices. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agencyโ€™s House Price Index (FHFA HPI), U.S. home prices rose from an index level of ~345 in late 2014 to about 691 by late 2024.

This nearly 100% cumulative increase over ten years corresponds to an average annual growth rate on the order of ~7% per year. In the more recent five-year span (2019โ€“2024), the index jumped from ~444 to 691โ€‹ โ€“ about a 55% total increase โ€“ which works out to roughly 9% per year on average.

For a different perspective, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and Zillowโ€™s Home Value Index tell a similar story.

Zillow reports that home values climbed 45.3% from February 2020 to February 2025, packing โ€œmore than a decadeโ€™s worth of typical growth into just five yearsโ€.

Historically, U.S. home values tend to rise around 4% per year in normal times, so the recent five-year period saw roughly double the typical annual appreciation rate.

Meanwhile, over a ten-year horizon, the average annual increase still exceeds the historical norm, given the strong gains of the past few years layered on top of the steady growth from the mid-2010s.

Period (Years) Cumulative Increase in Home Values Average Annual Increase
2014โ€“2024 (10 years) โ‰ˆ 100% (doubling of prices) โ‰ˆ 7.2% per year
2019โ€“2024 (5 years) โ‰ˆ 55% total rise โ‰ˆ 9.2% per year

As shown above, U.S. home values nearly doubled in the past decade, and over half of that growth occurred in just the last five years.

Next, weโ€™ll look at the year-by-year trend to see how these averages came to be.

Year-by-Year Home Price Trends (2015โ€“2024)

To better understand these averages, it helps to examine annual home price changes.

The following table lists the national FHFA House Price Index values at year-end and the year-over-year percentage increase for each year over the last decade:

Chart Showing the Year-By-Year Home Price Trends from 2015 to 2024
Source: FHFA HPI (all-transactions index, not seasonally adjusted).**

Several important observations emerge from this data:

Steady Growth (2015โ€“2019)

From 2014 through 2019, home prices nationally increased at a consistent ~5% per year pace. This was a period of sustained but modest appreciation, reflecting a recovering housing market in the 2010s with relatively balanced supply and demand.

The average annual increase during this half-decade was about 5.1%, very much in line with longer-term historical averages (in fact, slightly above the ~4% typical long-run rate).

Surge during 2020โ€“2022


Home values accelerated dramatically in 2020โ€“2022, the years marked by the COVID-19 pandemic housing boom. In 2021, national prices jumped by 18% in one year, followed by another 11% jump in 2022.

These two years of double-digit growth are the main reason the 5-year average is so high. Ultra-low mortgage rates, pandemic-driven housing demand (as many sought more space or moved to new areas), and limited housing inventory fueled this unprecedented appreciation.

According to Zillowโ€™s analysis, the surge from 2020 to 2022 compressed what would normally be a decadeโ€™s worth of price growth into just a couple of years.

Recent Cooldown (2023โ€“2024)

 

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By 2023, the pace of appreciation normalized significantly. As mortgage rates rose sharply and housing affordability worsened, price growth decelerated to about 5โ€“6% in 2023 and an estimated 5.4% in 2024.

These rates are much closer to historical norms. In fact, there was a brief period in late 2022 to early 2023 when some local markets saw flat or slightly declining prices, but on a national basis, the market held up with a modest climb.

The return to mid-single-digit annual growth in 2023โ€“2024 helped bring the 5-year average down a bit (from what would have been even higher if the 2021โ€“2022 boom had continued unabated).

Even so, the five-year period (2019โ€“2024) still averages out to roughly 8โ€“9% per year, well above the ten-year average, because of those two explosive growth years in the early 2020s.

In summary, the 10-year average (โ‰ˆ6โ€“7%/yr) reflects both the steady mid-2010s and the volatile early 2020s, while the 5-year average (โ‰ˆ8โ€“9%/yr) is dominated by the recent surge. Itโ€™s important to note that these are nominal home price increases (not adjusted for inflation).

Even after accounting for general inflation, real home price growth was very robust in the past five years.

State-by-State Home Value Growth: 5-Year vs. 10-Year Comparison

Across the U.S., home prices have surged in recent yearsโ€”but the extent of that growth varies significantly by state. Below is a comparison of key states, showing both cumulative growth and average annual appreciation over the past 5 and 10 years.

Chart Showing the State-By-State Home Value Growth
Chart showing the state-by-state home value growth

Western and Sun Belt statesโ€”like Arizona, Washington, and Floridaโ€”have seen the most explosive growth, with over 60% home price increases in just five years, and more than 100% appreciation over the last decade, according to FHFA.

California saw strong growth overall, particularly in the earlier part of the decade, but has since slowed due to affordability constraints.

Midwestern states like Ohio and Illinois had more modest increases, though they still outpaced inflation and represent more stable long-term markets.

Southern states such as Georgia and North Carolina saw high growth driven by population inflows and strong housing demand.

Data Sources and Reliability

The figures above are drawn from well-regarded national data sets:

  • The FHFA House Price Index (HPI) is a broad measure of U.S. single-family home values, based on repeat-sales data for mortgages purchased or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Itโ€™s a reliable gauge for national home price trends and is often cited for official statistics. We used the all-transactions FHFA HPI (which includes purchase and refinance appraisals) to calculate the 5-year and 10-year changes. The results would be similar if using the FHFA purchase-only index or the Case-Shiller national index โ€“ all show strong appreciation on the order of 40โ€“60% total over 5 years and roughly 90โ€“100% over 10 years.
  • Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI): Zillowโ€™s index of typical home values (covering all homes, not just those sold) likewise indicates a ~45% rise in values from early 2020 to early 2025โ€‹ zillow.com. This aligns with the FHFA HPI data for that span. Zillowโ€™s research also provides historical context, noting that a โ€œnormalโ€ five-year period would have seen only ~20% cumulative growth (around 4% annually), underscoring how unusual the recent spike was.
  • S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index: This index, another gold standard for home price tracking, showed record-high year-over-year gains in 2021 (~20% YoY) and continued strength into 2022. While we did not explicitly tabulate Case-Shiller numbers here, its national index roughly doubled from the mid-2010s to mid-2020s as well. All sources corroborate the overall trend and magnitude of increases.

By focusing on national-level data, weโ€™ve smoothed out regional variations. Some metro areas saw far higher appreciation (e.g. many Sun Belt cities exceeded 50โ€“60% growth in just the last 5 years), while a few areas lagged (some even flatlined).

But on aggregate, U.S. home values today are about 1.5 times higher than five years ago, and roughly double what they were ten years ago. These averages give a big-picture sense of the housing marketโ€™s trajectory.

Conclusion

A Hand Places a Small Wooden House on Top of Stacks of Coins, Symbolizing Home Value Growth
Higher interest rates and affordability issues will slow price growth in 2024โ€“2025

In the last decade, U.S. housing has proven to be a tremendous source of home equity gains for owners: national home prices rose around 6โ€“7% per year on average from 2014 to 2024, culminating in a total increase of about 100% over ten years.

Even more striking, about half of that gain occurred in just the most recent five-year span โ€“ a period during which home values jumped roughly 8โ€“9% per year on average (far above normal), as the market experienced an extraordinary boom. Going forward, analysts expect growth to moderate.

With higher interest rates and affordability challenges in 2024โ€“2025, forecasts generally call for much lower annual price increases (on the order of a few percent or even flat prices) in the near term.

Nevertheless, the 5-year and 10-year average appreciation rates documented here highlight how strongly the housing market has performed in recent times at the national level.

Such insights are valuable for homeowners and investors planning for the future, as they set realistic expectations โ€“ understanding that the recent supercharged gains are atypical, and long-run growth tends to revert closer to mid-single digits per year.